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Projecting the scale of human catastrophe in Gaza
Researchers have used techniques from epidemiology to estimate possible deaths in Gaza under different scenarios as the genocide continues, write ROX MIDDLETON, LIAM SHAW and MIRIAM GAUNTLETT
A mass grave in Gaza

THE humanitarian impact of Israel’s attack on Gaza is difficult to comprehend. Not only the bombardment but the severe restriction of aid into Gaza has killed tens of thousands of people.

Most awfully, these factors often combine, as on February 29. A crowd of desperate Palestinian civilians had gathered to wait for an aid convoy delivering bags of flour when Israeli troops fired into the crowd for a reported hour and a half. At least 118 civilians died in the “Flour Massacre,” as the event has been dubbed, with hundreds more injured.

As Al-Jazeera reported, though there is dispute over what led the Israeli forces to fire, the basic facts are clear: “Israeli forces fired indiscriminately into the crowd which killed dozens of people and led to a stampede in which more people died.”

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